Data last refreshed 16 days ago — analysis may not reflect the latest market data

VLOVLO

US

NEUTRAL

$260.44

P/E

18.85

PEG

0.05

FCF Yield

Rev Growth YoY

-2.8% YoY

Gross Margin

5.6%

Health Score

5/10

D/E Ratio

0.45

Confidence

LOW


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Business Snapshot

Valero Energy Corporation is a leading independent petroleum refiner and marketer, primarily generating revenue through the production and sale of transportation fuels and petrochemical feedstocks. The company operates a network of refineries across the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom, positioning it as a major player in the global refining sector. With a market capitalisation that places it in the large-cap tier, Valero's financial scale is substantial, though specific revenue or net income figures were not available for this analysis. The company's defining characteristic is its significant scale and integration in the refining value chain, which exposes it directly to volatile commodity price cycles and complex regulatory environments.

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Financial Health

The company's gross margin stands at a very thin 5.6%, while the net margin is 3.4%, indicating a low-margin business model typical of commodity refining, where profitability is highly sensitive to crack spreads. The balance sheet appears healthy with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.45x and a current ratio of 1.65x, suggesting a conservative capital structure and adequate short-term liquidity...

Risk Assessment

  • EARNINGS QUALITY — Out of 4 recent quarters, the company beat estimates in all 4, which is a positive indicator of management credibility rather than a risk.
  • TECHNICALS — RSI, MACD, and moving average data unavailable for this period; momentum cannot be independently confirmed.
  • FCF / CASH BURN — Free cash flow data is not available, making it impossible to confirm whether the company is generating cash or burning through it.
  • REVENUE DECELERATION — Revenue declined 2.8% year-over-year, signalling a contraction in the core business even as earnings spiked, creating a fundamental disconnect....

The company's gross margin stands at a very thin 5.6%, while the net margin is 3.4%, indicating a low-margin business model typical of commodity refining, where profitability is highly sensitive to crack spreads. The balance sheet appears healthy with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.45x and a current ratio of 1.65x, suggesting a conservative capital structure and adequate short-term liquidity. However, free cash flow data is unavailable, preventing a full assessment of cash generation or the FCF yield; this lack of data is a significant hole in the analysis. Overall, while the balance sheet metrics are positive and the company has the financial stability to endure market downturns, the extremely low margins and absence of FCF data introduce caution about its ability to consistently generate shareholder value.

- EARNINGS QUALITY — Out of 4 recent quarters, the company beat estimates in all 4, which is a positive indicator of management credibility rather than a risk. - TECHNICALS — RSI, MACD, and moving average data unavailable for this period; momentum cannot be independently confirmed. - FCF / CASH BURN — Free cash flow data is not available, making it impossible to confirm whether the company is generating cash or burning through it. - REVENUE DECELERATION — Revenue declined 2.8% year-over-year, signalling a contraction in the core business even as earnings spiked, creating a fundamental disconnect.

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Full 8-section analysis includes:

Financial Health
Growth Momentum
Valuation Snapshot
Risk Flags
Sentiment & News
Technical Snapshot
Full Verdict with Confidence Rating
Last updated 402 hours ago · Data sourced from FMP & Finnhub · Not financial advice