Data last refreshed 16 days ago — analysis may not reflect the latest market data

UPSUPS

US

NEUTRAL

$107.82

P/E

17.46

PEG

FCF Yield

Rev Growth YoY

-2.9% YoY

Gross Margin

83.1%

Health Score

6/10

D/E Ratio

1.49

Confidence

LOW


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Business Snapshot

United Parcel Service (UPS) is a global leader in logistics and package delivery, providing services across domestic and international shipping, supply chain management, and freight forwarding. The company operates in the highly competitive parcel delivery and logistics market, competing with FedEx and various regional carriers, while maintaining a dominant position in the U.S. ground delivery segment. Financial scale data is unavailable in this data set, limiting a precise market-cap tier assessment, but UPS is widely recognized as a large-cap operator with massive operational infrastructure. A defining characteristic is its highly integrated global network of aircraft, trucks, and sorting hubs, creating significant barriers to entry and operational leverage potential.

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Financial Health

Gross margin stands at a strong 83.1%, indicating a wide spread between revenue and direct costs of service, though a prior-year comparison is not available to assess directional change. Net margin of 5.9% is relatively thin, reflecting the capital-intensive nature of the logistics industry and high operating expenses...

Risk Assessment

  • EARNINGS QUALITY — The company beat estimates in only three of the last four quarters, representing a mixed record of guidance credibility and earnings consistency.
  • REVENUE DECELERATION — Revenue declined 2.9% year-over-year, indicating top-line contraction that pressures the investment case for growth-oriented investors...

Gross margin stands at a strong 83.1%, indicating a wide spread between revenue and direct costs of service, though a prior-year comparison is not available to assess directional change. Net margin of 5.9% is relatively thin, reflecting the capital-intensive nature of the logistics industry and high operating expenses. The balance sheet carries a debt/equity ratio of 1.49x and a current ratio of 1.22x, suggesting a manageable but elevated leverage position with adequate short-term liquidity coverage. Free cash flow data is unavailable, preventing any direct assessment of cash generation or cash burn trends. Overall, the combination of strong gross margins, a manageable debt load, and reasonable liquidity points to a financially stable operation, though the thin net margin and absent FCF data leave questions about reinvestment capacity and dividend sustainability.

- EARNINGS QUALITY — The company beat estimates in only three of the last four quarters, representing a mixed record of guidance credibility and earnings consistency. - REVENUE DECELERATION — Revenue declined 2.9% year-over-year, indicating top-line contraction that pressures the investment case for growth-oriented investors. - DEBT / LIQUIDITY — Debt/equity of 1.49x is above the commonly cited 1.5x caution threshold, signaling moderate financial leverage that could strain flexibility in a downturn. - VALUATION — EV/EBITDA of 24.12x is elevated relative to earnings-based multiples, implying a premium on enterprise-level earnings despite the P/E discount to the sector. - TECHNICALS — RSI, MACD, and moving average data unavailable for this period; momentum cannot be independently confirmed.

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Full 8-section analysis includes:

Financial Health
Growth Momentum
Valuation Snapshot
Risk Flags
Sentiment & News
Technical Snapshot
Full Verdict with Confidence Rating
Last updated 399 hours ago · Data sourced from FMP & Finnhub · Not financial advice