Data last refreshed 16 days ago — analysis may not reflect the latest market data

MPCMPC

US

NEUTRAL

$255.67

P/E

16.69

PEG

0.15

FCF Yield

Rev Growth YoY

-0.9% YoY

Gross Margin

11.9%

Health Score

6/10

D/E Ratio

1.90

Confidence

MEDIUM


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Business Snapshot

This company operates as a refiner in the energy sector, processing crude oil into petroleum products like gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel. Its business is inherently capital-intensive and tied to global refining margins, commodity prices, and economic demand cycles. The company holds a significant position within the industry as a large independent refiner with substantial scale. A defining characteristic of this business is its high cyclicality, with earnings closely tracking the crack spread, the difference between crude oil costs and refined product prices.

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Financial Health

The company reports a gross margin of 11.9% and a net margin of 3.4%, indicating modest profitability on each dollar of revenue after all costs and expenses. The balance sheet shows a debt/equity ratio of 1.9x, suggesting a leveraged capital structure, while the current ratio of 1.26x indicates adequate short-term liquidity to cover near-term obligations...

Risk Assessment

  • DEBT / LIQUIDITY — Debt/equity of 1.9x is elevated, limiting financial flexibility through the commodity price cycle.
  • REVENUE DECELERATION — Revenue declined by 0.9% year-over-year, a contraction that contrasts with the strong earnings growth and may signal a peak in the cycle.
  • TECHNICALS — RSI, MACD, and moving average data unavailable for this period; momentum cannot be independently confirmed.
  • EARNINGS QUALITY — Earnings beats in 3 of the last 4 quarters suggest guidance is possibly conservative, but the 115% earnings growth on -0.9% revenue growth raises questions about sustainability and one-time effects.
  • VALUATION — The low P/E and PEG ratios are heavily influenced by peak cyclical earnings, which should not be extrapolated as a permanent valuation discount....

The company reports a gross margin of 11.9% and a net margin of 3.4%, indicating modest profitability on each dollar of revenue after all costs and expenses. The balance sheet shows a debt/equity ratio of 1.9x, suggesting a leveraged capital structure, while the current ratio of 1.26x indicates adequate short-term liquidity to cover near-term obligations. Return on equity is high at 27.3%, reflecting strong earnings generation relative to shareholder equity. Free cash flow data is not available, preventing a complete assessment of cash generation vs. capital spending. Overall, financial health is adequate for the current operating phase, though the elevated debt load requires monitoring for dividend and reinvestment capacity.

- DEBT / LIQUIDITY — Debt/equity of 1.9x is elevated, limiting financial flexibility through the commodity price cycle. - REVENUE DECELERATION — Revenue declined by 0.9% year-over-year, a contraction that contrasts with the strong earnings growth and may signal a peak in the cycle. - TECHNICALS — RSI, MACD, and moving average data unavailable for this period; momentum cannot be independently confirmed. - EARNINGS QUALITY — Earnings beats in 3 of the last 4 quarters suggest guidance is possibly conservative, but the 115% earnings growth on -0.9% revenue growth raises questions about sustainability and one-time effects. - VALUATION — The low P/E and PEG ratios are heavily influenced by peak cyclical earnings, which should not be extrapolated as a permanent valuation discount.

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Full 8-section analysis includes:

Financial Health
Growth Momentum
Valuation Snapshot
Risk Flags
Sentiment & News
Technical Snapshot
Full Verdict with Confidence Rating
Last updated 399 hours ago · Data sourced from FMP & Finnhub · Not financial advice