Data last refreshed 99 days ago — analysis may not reflect the latest market data

Arch Capital Group Ltd.ACGL

NASDAQFinancial Services

NEUTRAL

$99.56

P/E

8.49

PEG

0.02

FCF Yield

Rev Growth YoY

+1490.0% YoY

Gross Margin

Health Score

7/10

D/E Ratio

0.11

Confidence

LOW


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Business Snapshot

Arch Capital Group Ltd. is a Bermuda-based specialty insurer and reinsurer operating across property, casualty, mortgage insurance, and reinsurance segments, serving clients globally from a position within the diversified insurance industry on the NASDAQ. The company competes in a capital-intensive financial services sector where disciplined underwriting and balance sheet strength are primary competitive differentiators. Based on the available data, a precise market cap tier cannot be confirmed, though the valuation ratios and price level are consistent with a mid-to-large-cap profile.

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Financial Health

Score: 7/10 Arch Capital presents a conservative financial structure anchored by a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.11x, suggesting minimal leverage risk relative to the broader insurance sector. Return on equity stands at a striking 1,902%, indicating highly efficient use of shareholder capital, though this figure may reflect base effects or accounting treatment in the insurance business that warrant scrutiny...

Risk Assessment

  • DATA QUALITY: Net margin of 2,279% and ROE of 1,902% are statistical outliers that likely reflect non-recurring items or measurement base effects, and may not represent sustainable operating performance.
  • TECHNICALS: A confirmed death cross pattern (shorter-term moving average crossing below the longer-term) is an established bearish momentum signal, and MACD is also flagged as bearish, indicating negative short-term price trends.
  • CASH FLOW: Free cash flow is unavailable, which prevents any assessment of whether reported earnings are translating into real cash generation — a critical metric for insurance firms managing claims reserves.
  • VALUATION CONFIDENCE: DCF fair value is unavailable (confidence rated low), leaving the intrinsic value case entirely dependent on relative multiple comparisons rather than fundamental discounted cash flow analysis.
  • EARNINGS SUSTAINABILITY: Revenue growth of 1,490% YoY with no TTM revenue figure available makes it impossible to assess whether the base comparison is distorted, creating material uncertainty around the true growth trajectory.

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**Score: 7/10** Arch Capital presents a conservative financial structure anchored by a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.11x, suggesting minimal leverage risk relative to the broader insurance sector. Return on equity stands at a striking 1,902%, indicating highly efficient use of shareholder capital, though this figure may reflect base effects or accounting treatment in the insurance business that warrant scrutiny. Free cash flow data is unavailable, which limits a full assessment of cash generation quality and constrains confidence in the overall health score. ---

- **DATA QUALITY: Net margin of 2,279% and ROE of 1,902% are statistical outliers** that likely reflect non-recurring items or measurement base effects, and may not represent sustainable operating performance. - **TECHNICALS: A confirmed death cross pattern** (shorter-term moving average crossing below the longer-term) is an established bearish momentum signal, and MACD is also flagged as bearish, indicating negative short-term price trends. - **CASH FLOW: Free cash flow is unavailable**, which prevents any assessment of whether reported earnings are translating into real cash generation — a critical metric for insurance firms managing claims reserves. - **VALUATION CONFIDENCE: DCF fair value is unavailable** (confidence rated low), leaving the intrinsic value case entirely dependent on relative multiple comparisons rather than fundamental discounted cash flow analysis. - **EARNINGS SUSTAINABILITY: Revenue growth of 1,490% YoY with no TTM revenue figure available** makes it impossible to assess whether the base comparison is distorted, creating material uncertainty around the true growth trajectory. ---

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Full 8-section analysis includes:

Financial Health
Growth Momentum
Valuation Snapshot
Risk Flags
Sentiment & News
Technical Snapshot
Full Verdict with Confidence Rating
Last updated 2390 hours ago · Data sourced from FMP & Finnhub · Not financial advice